Our Ai Overlords Predict the Remainder of Chelsea Fixtures!!!
Kickoff
Chelsea has nine matches left, with a possible 27 points still up for grabs
Chelsea is 5 points off Nottingham Forest, who are in 3rd
Only 5 points separate fourth place Chelsea from 10th place in the table
In addition, Newcastle, who currently sit 6th and are only two points behind Chelsea, have a game in hand
Historically finishing between 66 and 76 points gets a team in the top 4. If the median of that is taken then Chelsea will need 70 points to finish top 4.
This means they can only afford to lose two matches and draw one over their last nine.
The hill to climb is bigger than most realize, but it can be done!
The Ai Overlords
As Ai becomes more and more prevalent in society with kids writing papers and teachers figuring out how to crack the “Algo” why not see how Ai predicts the rest of the Chelsea season???
**** Disclaimer- the Ai does make some mistakes but for the most part gets things right. Just have fun with this thought experiment and remember the Ai will be our overlords one day so they will remember what you said about them!!!
Chelsea Remaining Fixtures as Predicted by Ai
April 2, 2025: Tottenham Hotspur (H)
Context: Chelsea host Tottenham at Stamford Bridge. Tottenham beat Chelsea 2-0 away earlier this season. Chelsea’s home form (8W-3D-3L) is strong, but Tottenham’s counter-attacks (e.g., Son Heung-min) exploit Chelsea’s defense (35 goals conceded).
Prediction: Chelsea 1-2 Tottenham – Loss (0 points). Tottenham’s pace edges a tight game; Palmer scores, but Son and Kulusevski punish late.
Points: 49.
April 5, 2025: Brentford (A)
Context: Chelsea travel to Brentford post-Tottenham loss. Brentford are tough at home (e.g., 2-1 vs. Manchester City), though Chelsea won 1-0 at home earlier. Away form (5W-3D-6L) suggests vulnerability.
Prediction: Brentford 1-1 Chelsea – Draw (1 point). Brentford score early (e.g., Mbeumo), but Nkunku equalizes off a Palmer assist.
Points: 49 + 1 = 50.
April 13, 2025: Ipswich Town (H)
Context: Ipswich are in the relegation zone (18th). Chelsea’s home advantage and Ipswich’s weak attack (e.g., 25 goals scored) favor a routine win.
Prediction: Chelsea 2-0 Ipswich – Win (3 points). Palmer and Madueke score; Chelsea rebound confidently.
Points: 50 + 3 = 53.
April 20, 2025: Fulham (A)
Context: Fulham are mid-table, unbeaten in eight (mostly draws). Chelsea’s away inconsistency (e.g., 3-0 loss to Brighton) meets Fulham’s resilience.
Prediction: Fulham 1-1 Chelsea – Draw (1 point). Mitrovic scores for Fulham, Palmer equalizes; a scrappy draw.
Points: 53 + 1 = 54.
April 26, 2025: Everton (H)
Context: Everton are winless in five, struggling to score. Chelsea’s home strength (1.93 points per game) should prevail.
Prediction: Chelsea 1-0 Everton – Win (3 points). A late Nkunku goal seals it; Everton’s defense holds until the end.
Points: 54 + 3 = 57.
May 4, 2025: Liverpool (H)
Context: Liverpool lead the league (projected 68+ points). Chelsea drew 1-1 away, but Liverpool’s attack (e.g., Salah) overwhelms at Stamford Bridge.
Prediction: Chelsea 1-2 Liverpool – Loss (0 points). Palmer scores, but Liverpool’s depth (Nunez, Gakpo) wins out.
Points: 57 + 0 = 57.
May 10, 2025: Newcastle United (A)
Context: Newcastle (54 pts projected) are in form (16 pts in 2025). Chelsea won 2-1 at home, but Newcastle’s home record tilts this.
Prediction: Newcastle 2-1 Chelsea – Loss (0 points). Isak scores twice; Palmer pulls one back late.
Points: 57 + 0 = 57.
May 18, 2025: Manchester United (H)
Context: United (9th) are erratic but drew 1-1 at Old Trafford. Chelsea’s home edge and United’s inconsistency favor a win.
Prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Manchester United – Win (3 points). Palmer and Madueke strike; United score via Hojlund.
Points: 57 + 3 = 60.
May 25, 2025: Nottingham Forest (A)
Context: Forest (3rd, 56 pts projected) are a surprise package. Chelsea drew 1-1 at home, but Forest’s home form (e.g., 1-0 vs. City) is stout.
Prediction: Nottingham Forest 2-0 Chelsea – Loss (0 points). Gibbs-White and Hudson-Odoi score; Chelsea falter on the final day.
Points: 60 + 0 = 60.
Conclusion
With 60 points, Chelsea likely finish 6th or 7th. Rivals like Nottingham Forest (67 pts), Newcastle (68 pts), and Manchester City (69 pts) are projected to hit 65-70, while Brighton (61 pts) edges Chelsea. Fifth place typically needs 65-68 points, so they fall short unless rivals collapse. This prediction assumes Palmer stays fit; injuries could lower this further.
Chelsea have a 50-60% chance of finishing top 5, leaning on their current position and attacking talent. But their defensive frailty, injuries, and brutal schedule make it a tight call—Brighton or Newcastle could overtake them.
If Chelsea Fail to Beat Tottenham
If Chelsea loses to Tottenham, their projected points (around 60-62) are unlikely to suffice for a top-5 finish, as competitors like Forest, Newcastle, Man City, and Brighton are expected to reach 62-67 points. Chelsea would most likely finish 6th or 7th, with only a slim chance of 5th if other teams underperform significantly. The loss reduces their top-5 probability from a prior 50-60% to roughly 20-30%, making it a challenging path forward.
Podcast Predictions:
Tottenham (H): Chelsea beat Tottenham 4-3 earlier in the season. This game is crucial for a couple of reasons: 1. It will give Chelsea momentum, and a win gives them something to build off of. 2. If Chelsea do lose, their chances of making the top 4 go down significantly, and they will become dependent on other teams to drop points just to have a chance.
Predictions: Jason: Win Daniel: Win
Brentford (A): Chelsea need the 3 points from this match, but it will be tough. Chelsea on the road has not been consistent this year. The importance of this match for both teams makes it even tougher.
Predictions: Jason: Draw Daniel: Draw
Ipswich (H): God forbid Chelsea loses to Ipswich TWICE in the same season, but then again that would be peak Chelsea under Clearlake.
Predictions: Jason: Win Daniel: Win
Fulham (A): A London Derby against a team Chelsea lost to in stoppage time earlier in the season at home! This game is going to be diabolical and could be a disaster.
Predictions: Jason: Loss Daniel: Draw
Everton (H): Another match on paper Chelsea should win BUT again this is Chelsea under Clearlake and they like to screw things up.
Predictions: Jason: Win Daniel: Win
Liverpool (H): Counting this a loss there’s no need to debate.
Predictions: Jason: Loss Daniel: Loss
Newcastle United (A): Another tough road match where the other team is battling for top 4. Newcastle has all the momentum after winning their first trophy in forever and wanting to secure that Champions League money for their Saudi owners to bathe in.
Predictions: Jason: Draw Daniel: Loss
Manchester United (H): Chelsea’s bogie team. Chelsea has only defeated Manchester once since 2018, and that was a 4-3 victory last year, where Cole Palmer dragged Poch’s dead carcass to a victory. A win would be impressive but a draw is realistic.
Predictions: Jason: Win Daniel: Draw
Nottingham Forest (A): This match could be for all the marbles, the whole kitten caboodle, Champions League Football. This match is the scariest on the schedule. Forest will play a low block, and Chelsea have been unable to break down a low block this season. Chelsea has eight matches to figure out how to break down a low block, or else they could end the season on a sour note, losing and missing out on Champions League football and probably another year without a front-of-shirt sponsor.
Predictions: Jason: Loss Daniel: Draw
The Final Whistle
While the Ai think Chelsea will stumble down the stretch and fail to finish top 5, fans must remain optimistic. Every team in the race for top 5 will drop points down the stretch. If Chelsea lose it’s not the end of the world but let’s hope they win because X will go crazy if they start losing!